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SMOKING BANS DON'T CHOKE OFF ECONOMIES


Illinois will lose as much as $60 million a year in cigarette tax revenue after an expected statewide smoking ban goes into effect in January. Metro East casinos could see a 20 percent drop in business. And while there's no way to measure the aggravation of nicotine-deprived bar customers, it will certainly be considerable.

That said, most indications from the experience of other cigarette-banning states is that the economic sky won't fall in Illinois once the air clears. . . .

Generally, there is little statistical evidence that smoking bans cause any immediate change in the economy, according to a Post-Dispatch review of data. "No statistically significant changes in restaurant and bar revenues occurred after the smoking ban took effect," concluded one typical study in 2002 by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control, regarding a smoking ban in El Paso, Texas. "These findings are consistent with those from studies of smoking bans in other U.S. cities."

But opponents say that doesn't take into account the potential long-range issues such as the slowing of economic growth. One smoking-rights study claims that "smoker unfriendly" states like California and New York saw as much as 25 percent less revenue growth in their service industries during the 1990s as did "smoker friendly" states. . . .

Hannegan has since led opposition to several Missouri smoking bans, alleging that medical data on the dangers of secondhand smoke have been "knowingly exaggerated'' by health advocates, and making a philosophical case for the right of adults to decide for themselves whether to patronize smoky bars and casinos.

Hannegan, like others on both sides of the smoking-ban debate, cites an array of economic and medical studies supporting his position, and slams opposing studies.

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